AGP Executive Report
Last update: 6 hours agoRed Sea Energy Shock: Yemen’s Iran-aligned Houthis claimed they hit two Saudi oil tankers (Encelia and Layla) in the Red Sea, after declaring a Bab al-Mandeb blockade—sparking fresh fears of a second chokepoint crisis as the US continues its 12th straight night of strikes on Iran. US-Iran Escalation: Trump warned “major military punishment” if attacks continue, saying Washington will hold Iran responsible because the Houthis act as Tehran’s proxy. Shipping Costs: Maritime insurance rates are climbing as disruptions spread from the Strait of Hormuz to Bab al-Mandeb, with vessels rerouting and some turning back. Oil Prices Jump: Brent broke above $100 a barrel for the first time since May, with WTI crossing $90, as traders priced in supply risks and higher fuel costs. Regional Pushback: Oman urged de-escalation and protection of freedom of navigation; the EU called the tanker attack “unacceptable and illegal.” Saudi Export Flexing: Aramco reportedly offered extra crude cargoes from Egypt’s Sidi Kerir to keep Red Sea-linked exports moving despite Houthi threats. Yemen-Iran Link: Reuters reports Iran flew IRGC commanders and missile/drone-related equipment into Yemen on July 13 to bolster Houthi capabilities.
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